Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 3.252440 3.440530 3.640376 3.869680 4.126986 4.408576 4.742522
2025-03-23 2.950029 3.202126 3.483479 3.824626 4.232602 4.712400 5.331469
2025-03-30 2.698744 2.987840 3.323148 3.748500 4.285811 4.960571 5.906162
2025-04-06 2.478347 2.786810 3.155766 3.641651 4.285199 5.143170 6.446460
2025-04-13 2.276082 2.589839 2.974152 3.495535 4.213550 5.221414 6.870122
2025-04-20 2.174412 2.508014 2.928089 3.518622 4.372123 5.653207 7.977660
2025-04-27 2.090816 2.441840 2.895357 3.554975 4.555287 6.166401 9.460118
2025-05-04 2.037041 2.409513 2.903711 3.649051 4.841346 6.928342 11.922431
2025-05-11 1.967020 2.350073 2.869175 3.675641 5.025646 7.573750 14.744582
2025-05-18 1.891119 2.277326 2.809618 3.656847 5.130511 8.105829 17.983213
2025-05-25 1.792929 2.168149 2.689980 3.531527 5.026777 8.165671 19.759938
2025-06-01 1.722291 2.093638 2.615950 3.472417 5.036636 8.496554 23.485497
2025-06-08 1.632786 1.993533 2.505784 3.357759 4.951477 8.647397 27.523761
2025-06-15 1.580752 1.944264 2.468830 3.362876 5.107595 9.526810 42.640908
2025-06-22 1.524403 1.885929 2.414391 3.333160 5.190919 10.283479 72.791663
2025-06-29 1.464924 1.820173 2.344450 3.269709 5.192622 10.815880 143.097317
2025-07-06 1.401260 1.745498 2.256411 3.166193 5.088743 10.946246 300.321265
2025-07-13 1.371528 1.719540 2.243592 3.198684 5.308388 12.525560 NaN
2025-07-20 1.345523 1.697723 2.235772 3.239704 5.562840 14.653264 NaN
2025-07-27 1.329915 1.690656 2.251247 3.327465 5.968497 18.509891 NaN
2025-08-03 1.304542 1.667289 2.237962 3.356666 6.227934 22.414047 NaN
2025-08-10 1.274060 1.634596 2.206849 3.345970 6.370600 26.139862 NaN
2025-08-17 1.230275 1.579522 2.134753 3.243101 6.204699 26.145067 NaN